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Red271
203146.6
5113109.7
365169.7
Blue208
204111.5
341143.4
4954126.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972910100200400500600700271208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#2
169.74.0
125.8129.8
Auto22.7
Teleop132.1
End12.3
red by 26.3
341
#23
143.410.0
114.6124.7
Auto15.4
Teleop110.7
End16.4
Second
203
#20
146.64.5
112.8117.3
Auto20.7
Teleop112.1
End17.3
red by 19.7
4954
#32
126.98.2
106.9115.1
Auto16.9
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Third
5113
#27
109.79.7
92.4102.1
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
blue by 1.8
204
#34
111.56.7
93.199.8
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed