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Red316
4911180.6
4488186.4
2990180.9
Blue388
1983168.7
5803186.0
5920156.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398346100200300500600316388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.40.6
184.1184.7
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
red by 0.4
186.00.3
185.3185.6
Auto23.6
Teleop131.9
End31.4
Second
2990
#39
180.90.4
182.1181.7
Auto29.5
Teleop138.5
End9.0
red by 12.2
1983
#14
168.70.4
167.9168.3
Auto16.2
Teleop135.1
End16.0
Third
4911
#15
180.60.2
179.9180.1
Auto20.3
Teleop137.4
End22.7
red by 23.6
5920
#45
156.90.2
157.4157.1
Auto22.8
Teleop115.4
End19.6