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Red307
4513189.0
1778155.7
3223144.1
Blue170
1359112.7
2811193.8
6443124.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346318100200400500600307170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#10
189.00.5
193.3192.8
Auto21.8
Teleop138.3
End26.1
blue by 4.8
2811
#48
193.80.7
202.9203.6
Auto22.3
Teleop154.2
End18.3
Second
1778
#31
155.70.1
155.3155.1
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
red by 31.3
6443
#32
124.40.3
135.8135.5
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End13.3
Third
144.11.4
127.9129.3
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
red by 31.4
1359
#64
112.70.2
116.5116.4
Auto16.2
Teleop86.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed