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Red272
4915156.9
2930166.5
2605142.5
Blue425
3223144.1
4662123.4
2471203.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233660100200400500600700272425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#35
166.50.7
165.6166.3
Auto22.1
Teleop121.2
End25.0
blue by 36.5
203.00.8
197.4198.2
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
Second
4915
#47
156.90.6
156.2156.8
Auto23.3
Teleop112.1
End20.7
red by 12.8
144.11.3
140.1141.4
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
Third
2605
#54
142.50.9
144.6143.6
Auto19.8
Teleop103.0
End19.2
red by 19.2
4662
#61
123.42.7
127.7125.0
Auto17.3
Teleop95.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed