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Red220
294499.6
2906130.1
4131141.5
Blue418
3218179.9
3223144.1
2811193.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1924240100300500600700220418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#40
141.50.4
131.7132.1
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End29.0
blue by 52.3
2811
#48
193.80.9
203.6202.6
Auto22.3
Teleop154.2
End18.3
Second
2906
#58
130.10.7
139.5138.8
Auto17.2
Teleop96.2
End14.3
blue by 49.9
3218
#13
179.91.0
170.4171.5
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3
Third
2944
#63
99.61.5
110.2108.7
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
blue by 44.5
144.11.0
129.3130.3
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed