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Red438
2928145.2
5468151.0
1318203.5
Blue181
4125128.9
2374134.4
3674160.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372321200400500600700438181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.2
201.7201.5
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
red by 42.8
3674
#27
160.71.0
165.3166.3
Auto17.4
Teleop113.4
End28.4
Second
5468
#11
151.00.4
140.4140.0
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3
red by 16.7
2374
#56
134.41.3
136.3137.6
Auto21.2
Teleop101.8
End8.2
Third
2928
#17
145.20.6
140.9141.5
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
red by 16.2
4125
#62
128.90.3
130.8131.1
Auto16.7
Teleop99.3
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed