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Red362
2733142.8
3711171.6
6845133.0
Blue249
3663161.7
294499.6
5920156.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341315100200400500600362249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#44
171.61.3
168.9170.2
Auto21.7
Teleop124.9
End25.7
red by 9.8
3663
#24
161.70.7
153.6154.3
Auto17.6
Teleop122.1
End22.9
Second
2733
#37
142.80.7
145.8145.1
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End17.4
blue by 14.2
5920
#45
156.91.0
161.6162.6
Auto22.8
Teleop115.4
End19.6
Third
6845
#49
133.00.9
123.6124.6
Auto17.1
Teleop103.3
End14.8
red by 33.4
2944
#63
99.61.0
108.7107.6
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed