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Red408
948154.1
847153.2
3218179.9
Blue307
1510145.2
3674160.7
4061148.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359315200250400450500550408307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#13
179.91.4
171.5172.9
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3
red by 19.2
3674
#27
160.70.1
166.3166.2
Auto17.4
Teleop113.4
End28.4
Second
948
#29
154.12.0
149.1151.1
Auto21.4
Teleop116.7
End12.3
red by 6.0
4061
#26
148.10.9
154.8153.9
Auto24.8
Teleop109.6
End12.8
Third
847
#22
153.21.4
143.5144.9
Auto20.4
Teleop113.7
End20.3
red by 7.9
1510
#23
145.20.6
139.9140.4
Auto19.1
Teleop103.4
End25.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsEarned