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Red165
5468151.0
6465125.4
3826146.8
Blue288
2522165.5
2605142.5
2557185.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241403100200300500600700165288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#11
151.00.1
140.0140.2
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3
blue by 34.4
185.40.6
173.7174.3
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
Second
3826
#52
146.80.9
138.2139.1
Auto16.8
Teleop114.3
End19.8
blue by 18.7
2522
#20
165.51.3
168.2169.5
Auto24.2
Teleop124.3
End17.5
Third
6465
#43
125.40.8
128.9128.1
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End11.8
blue by 17.1
2605
#54
142.50.6
150.2149.6
Auto19.8
Teleop103.0
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed