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Red247
3663161.7
6465125.4
2147150.4
Blue475
3218179.9
2471203.0
360179.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238451100200300400500600700800247475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#24
161.70.4
154.3154.7
Auto17.6
Teleop122.1
End22.9
blue by 41.3
203.00.3
192.1192.4
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
Second
2147
#59
150.41.1
149.6150.7
Auto20.6
Teleop122.1
End10.4
blue by 29.6
3218
#13
179.91.8
172.9174.7
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3
Third
6465
#43
125.41.3
128.1126.8
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End11.8
blue by 54.2
360
#9
179.61.1
171.9173.0
Auto24.2
Teleop135.8
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsEarned