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Red457
1778155.7
4125128.9
4488186.4
Blue253
4061148.1
4513189.0
5920156.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300385200500600457253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.41.2
173.8175.0
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
blue by 2.6
4513
#10
189.00.0
192.3192.3
Auto21.8
Teleop138.3
End26.1
Second
1778
#31
155.70.6
154.9155.4
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
blue by 1.2
5920
#45
156.90.8
162.6163.3
Auto22.8
Teleop115.4
End19.6
Third
4125
#62
128.91.5
128.8127.3
Auto16.7
Teleop99.3
End11.9
blue by 19.2
4061
#26
148.10.9
153.9153.0
Auto24.8
Teleop109.6
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed