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Red293
997151.8
5450139.0
6465125.4
Blue322
3826146.8
6443124.4
2930166.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2863310100200400500293322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#36
151.80.9
148.5147.6
Auto17.5
Teleop117.3
End19.8
blue by 14.7
2930
#35
166.50.4
163.4163.8
Auto22.1
Teleop121.2
End25.0
Second
5450
#16
139.01.1
130.0131.1
Auto21.4
Teleop98.9
End21.4
blue by 7.8
3826
#52
146.80.6
139.1139.8
Auto16.8
Teleop114.3
End19.8
Third
6465
#43
125.40.4
125.8125.4
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End11.8
red by 1.1
6443
#32
124.42.3
131.1128.8
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed