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Red303
1359112.7
3223144.1
2976157.9
Blue397
5468151.0
5920156.9
1983168.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265384100200300500600303397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#38
157.90.7
150.4151.1
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
blue by 10.8
1983
#14
168.70.6
164.6165.2
Auto16.2
Teleop135.1
End16.0
Second
144.11.5
132.6134.1
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
blue by 12.8
5920
#45
156.90.2
163.3163.2
Auto22.8
Teleop115.4
End19.6
Third
1359
#64
112.70.0
114.2114.2
Auto16.2
Teleop86.3
End12.0
blue by 38.3
5468
#11
151.00.7
139.5140.2
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned