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Red512
4488186.4
957169.5
2557185.4
Blue273
1510145.2
3218179.9
4662123.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409279100200500600700512273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.40.9
172.8173.8
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
red by 6.5
3218
#13
179.92.0
174.7176.7
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3
Second
185.40.1
174.3174.4
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
red by 40.2
1510
#23
145.20.3
140.4140.7
Auto19.1
Teleop103.4
End25.0
Third
957
#19
169.51.0
174.4173.4
Auto21.0
Teleop132.0
End13.4
red by 46.2
4662
#61
123.41.8
143.8142.0
Auto17.3
Teleop95.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed