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Red326
488166.2
2557185.4
3826146.8
Blue337
1778155.7
2811193.8
2521138.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3403020100200400500600700326337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.41.2
175.0176.2
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
blue by 8.4
2811
#48
193.81.5
199.6198.1
Auto22.3
Teleop154.2
End18.3
Second
488
#51
166.20.5
165.8165.3
Auto20.8
Teleop132.2
End10.0
red by 10.5
1778
#31
155.70.9
156.8157.7
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
Third
3826
#52
146.81.0
139.8140.8
Auto16.8
Teleop114.3
End19.8
red by 7.9
2521
#18
138.90.3
132.0132.4
Auto17.1
Teleop108.2
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed