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Red357
4450172.4
6076125.3
2471203.0
Blue234
3711171.6
2928145.2
1983168.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353371200250300400450500550357234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.7
193.2194.0
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
red by 31.4
3711
#44
171.60.9
173.2174.1
Auto21.7
Teleop124.9
End25.7
Second
4450
#33
172.40.8
169.7170.5
Auto18.8
Teleop128.4
End26.9
red by 3.7
1983
#14
168.71.0
165.2166.3
Auto16.2
Teleop135.1
End16.0
Third
6076
#50
125.30.3
126.4126.1
Auto16.9
Teleop92.6
End14.1
blue by 19.9
2928
#17
145.20.5
143.1143.7
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed