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Red107
294499.6
948154.1
4662123.4
Blue396
6445139.5
492143.3
3024136.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993290100200400500600107396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#29
154.11.2
155.1156.3
Auto21.4
Teleop116.7
End12.3
red by 10.8
492
#55
143.31.6
149.6148.0
Auto21.5
Teleop104.9
End14.8
Second
4662
#61
123.41.0
140.6139.7
Auto17.3
Teleop95.3
End10.0
blue by 16.2
6445
#46
139.50.6
139.1139.6
Auto16.3
Teleop111.5
End12.6
Third
2944
#63
99.60.6
105.7105.1
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
blue by 37.2
3024
#34
136.80.8
128.8129.7
Auto22.4
Teleop96.7
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed