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Red272
5468151.0
2990180.9
3663161.7
Blue398
2046218.0
4512135.9
957169.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306387100200500600700272398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#39
180.90.4
182.3182.0
Auto29.5
Teleop138.5
End9.0
blue by 37.0
218.00.0
214.3214.3
Auto25.2
Teleop162.6
End29.8
Second
3663
#24
161.71.1
155.6156.7
Auto17.6
Teleop122.1
End22.9
blue by 7.8
957
#19
169.51.2
173.1171.9
Auto21.0
Teleop132.0
End13.4
Third
5468
#11
151.01.1
140.2141.3
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3
red by 15.2
4512
#28
135.90.9
129.4130.4
Auto19.4
Teleop101.6
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned