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Red163
2733142.8
2374134.4
1983168.7
Blue412
2521138.9
4513189.0
4131141.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318349100200400500600163412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#14
168.70.1
166.3166.1
Auto16.2
Teleop135.1
End16.0
blue by 20.2
4513
#10
189.00.3
191.4191.1
Auto21.8
Teleop138.3
End26.1
Second
2733
#37
142.80.6
145.8145.2
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End17.4
red by 1.3
4131
#40
141.50.3
137.1137.3
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End29.0
Third
2374
#56
134.40.8
138.1138.9
Auto21.2
Teleop101.8
End8.2
blue by 4.5
2521
#18
138.90.8
132.4133.1
Auto17.1
Teleop108.2
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned