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Red444
2471203.0
4131141.5
488166.2
Blue193
6443124.4
4450172.4
4125128.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4402370100200300400500600700444193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.9
195.8196.7
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
red by 30.6
4450
#33
172.40.5
171.6172.1
Auto18.8
Teleop128.4
End26.9
Second
488
#51
166.20.5
164.6165.1
Auto20.8
Teleop132.2
End10.0
red by 37.2
4125
#62
128.90.5
126.2126.8
Auto16.7
Teleop99.3
End11.9
Third
4131
#40
141.51.1
137.8138.9
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End29.0
red by 17.1
6443
#32
124.41.1
126.2125.0
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
55%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed