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Red426
5468151.0
2976157.9
2910211.6
Blue265
4488186.4
4513189.0
948154.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3553670100200300500600700800426265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
211.60.9
208.1209.1
Auto20.9
Teleop161.3
End27.1
red by 22.7
4513
#10
189.00.4
191.0190.6
Auto21.8
Teleop138.3
End26.1
Second
2976
#38
157.91.5
153.4154.9
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
blue by 28.5
186.41.3
180.1181.4
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
Third
5468
#11
151.01.4
142.0143.3
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3
blue by 3.0
948
#29
154.10.2
156.5156.6
Auto21.4
Teleop116.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed