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Red348
2374134.4
1595147.4
3711171.6
Blue349
2906130.1
3223144.1
1425207.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304392100200500600700348349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#44
171.60.8
174.0173.2
Auto21.7
Teleop124.9
End25.7
blue by 36.0
207.61.1
206.5207.6
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
Second
1595
#53
147.41.1
142.9144.0
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
red by 3.3
144.11.5
137.5139.0
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
Third
2374
#56
134.40.8
138.5137.7
Auto21.2
Teleop101.8
End8.2
red by 4.3
2906
#58
130.11.0
134.1133.1
Auto17.2
Teleop96.2
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned48%Face the Boss oddsMissed