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Red421
2471203.0
2557185.4
1778155.7
Blue188
4911180.6
4488186.4
3218179.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406328200300500600700421188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.5
201.5202.0
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
red by 16.6
186.40.3
186.1186.4
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
Second
185.40.5
183.7184.2
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
red by 4.9
4911
#15
180.60.0
180.5180.6
Auto20.3
Teleop137.4
End22.7
Third
1778
#31
155.70.0
155.9155.9
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
blue by 24.2
3218
#13
179.90.2
180.2179.9
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3