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Red354
1772165.2
5528166.5
5443109.5
Blue266
3986130.2
3379133.3
4942132.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370303100200400500600354266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.50.9
161.8162.7
Auto23.0
Teleop117.3
End25.1
red by 33.2
3379
#10
133.31.1
131.2132.4
Auto16.6
Teleop95.6
End24.7
Second
165.21.5
157.3158.8
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
red by 33.2
4942
#21
132.01.1
129.9131.0
Auto13.5
Teleop98.3
End21.8
Third
5443
#49
109.50.3
108.4108.6
Auto14.5
Teleop74.6
End21.2
blue by 20.7
3986
#32
130.20.1
130.1130.2
Auto16.5
Teleop100.2
End11.2