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Red110
4955106.9
353298.7
3387113.8
Blue386
1772165.2
6823144.4
4950133.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303080100200400500600110386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3387
#46
113.89.9
77.987.9
Auto12.1
Teleop89.6
End11.7
blue by 51.4
165.29.8
100.2110.0
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
Second
4955
#30
106.917.6
60.277.8
Auto15.8
Teleop79.8
End12.2
blue by 37.5
6823
#18
144.413.2
77.790.9
Auto16.1
Teleop112.5
End14.9
Third
3532
#52
98.710.4
77.087.5
Auto12.3
Teleop74.0
End14.2
blue by 35.0
4950
#38
133.713.5
82.796.3
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed