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Red91
398596.8
5440114.9
5179127.6
Blue361
7162140.2
3360156.4
6851125.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25328710020040050091361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5179
#20
127.612.6
81.193.7
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8
blue by 28.7
156.48.7
115.2123.9
Auto20.7
Teleop113.3
End23.5
Second
5440
#25
114.911.3
81.893.2
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End16.8
blue by 25.2
140.211.2
77.788.9
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
Third
3985
#54
96.810.0
84.194.1
Auto12.7
Teleop73.2
End15.9
blue by 28.5
6851
#14
125.310.4
77.788.1
Auto16.9
Teleop93.5
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed