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Red300
5994111.0
296122.9
3990186.3
Blue248
359181.1
398198.0
3996127.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763150100200400500600700300248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.311.6
115.0126.6
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 5.2
359
#2
181.111.2
118.6129.8
Auto24.2
Teleop127.7
End26.9
Second
296
#31
122.99.8
88.198.0
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End17.7
blue by 4.3
3996
#22
127.311.3
97.2108.5
Auto14.2
Teleop96.3
End22.0
Third
5994
#35
111.09.9
85.295.1
Auto15.0
Teleop84.2
End15.7
red by 12.9
3981
#48
98.017.6
60.377.9
Auto15.7
Teleop79.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed