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Red80
6872108.7
6929115.4
3117112.8
Blue383
5618143.4
5439147.8
6953117.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268284010020040050060070080080383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.412.7
77.790.5
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End14.2
blue by 32.5
5439
#16
147.89.4
91.5100.9
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
Second
3117
#47
112.87.6
105.6113.2
Auto17.1
Teleop84.1
End13.8
blue by 30.6
143.49.0
104.6113.6
Auto16.5
Teleop113.8
End14.5
Third
6872
#24
108.711.7
77.789.4
Auto16.4
Teleop80.0
End17.4
blue by 8.9
6953
#12
117.514.0
77.791.7
Auto15.2
Teleop84.7
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed