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Red266
7162140.2
3533113.1
4957109.9
Blue351
5440114.9
3387113.8
3550129.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2852410100200400500600700800266351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7162
#5Sur
140.210.6
88.999.5
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
red by 11.0
3550
#41Sur
129.25.3
101.9107.3
Auto14.7
Teleop100.1
End15.0
Second
3533
#33
113.112.0
84.196.1
Auto14.4
Teleop89.4
End9.8
blue by 1.8
5440
#25
114.95.5
93.298.7
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End16.8
Third
4957
#40
109.95.4
92.798.1
Auto13.0
Teleop81.6
End17.9
blue by 3.9
3387
#46
113.86.2
87.994.0
Auto12.1
Teleop89.6
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed