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Red188
7116130.3
6872108.7
5910148.8
Blue353
6902125.0
4947135.9
3990186.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2533220100200400500600700188353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#11
148.811.3
107.7119.0
Auto20.0
Teleop108.2
End21.1
blue by 37.5
186.39.8
126.6136.4
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
Second
7116
#27
130.37.8
90.097.8
Auto13.4
Teleop97.4
End19.2
blue by 5.5
135.99.0
101.8110.8
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End21.1
Third
6872
#24
108.74.6
89.494.0
Auto16.4
Teleop80.0
End17.4
blue by 16.3
6902
#17
125.08.3
88.997.2
Auto15.6
Teleop89.4
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned