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Red435
5179127.6
3550129.2
4955106.9
Blue267
5570102.7
6869146.2
5443109.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266276150200250300350400450435267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#41
129.21.0
118.4119.4
Auto14.7
Teleop100.1
End15.0
blue by 17.0
6869
#13
146.27.0
120.3127.3
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
Second
5179
#20
127.62.6
108.5111.1
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8
red by 18.1
5443
#49
109.50.6
102.9103.5
Auto14.5
Teleop74.6
End21.2
Third
4955
#30
106.92.5
100.5103.0
Auto15.8
Teleop79.8
End12.2
red by 4.2
5570
#50
102.71.1
104.6105.7
Auto11.4
Teleop79.2
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed