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Red139
3986130.2
3117112.8
5865131.8
Blue398
7116130.3
6851125.3
5618143.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292295150200250350400139398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5865
#29
131.85.3
121.9127.2
Auto18.8
Teleop95.9
End23.1
blue by 11.6
143.42.6
133.4136.0
Auto16.5
Teleop113.8
End14.5
Second
3986
#32
130.25.4
119.3124.7
Auto16.5
Teleop100.2
End11.2
blue by 0.1
7116
#27
130.36.3
108.4114.8
Auto13.4
Teleop97.4
End19.2
Third
3117
#47
112.80.4
115.8116.2
Auto17.1
Teleop84.1
End13.8
blue by 12.5
6851
#14
125.34.8
110.6115.4
Auto16.9
Teleop93.5
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed