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Red414
5439147.8
4942132.0
5553134.7
Blue286
3379133.3
4947135.9
353298.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309281100200400500414286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5439
#16
147.85.6
120.7126.3
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
red by 12.0
135.93.5
124.6128.0
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End21.1
Second
5553
#44
134.72.9
120.5123.4
Auto15.6
Teleop103.5
End15.2
red by 1.4
3379
#10
133.36.7
110.3117.0
Auto16.6
Teleop95.6
End24.7
Third
4942
#21
132.07.0
102.8109.9
Auto13.5
Teleop98.3
End21.8
red by 33.3
3532
#52
98.71.3
95.797.0
Auto12.3
Teleop74.0
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed