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Red389
296122.9
3360156.4
3996127.3
Blue230
654195.7
3387113.8
3988104.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3582030100300400500600389230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.43.5
147.1150.6
Auto20.7
Teleop113.3
End23.5
red by 42.6
3387
#46
113.84.9
104.3109.2
Auto12.1
Teleop89.6
End11.7
Second
3996
#22
127.32.5
113.7116.1
Auto14.2
Teleop96.3
End22.0
red by 22.6
3988
#51
104.71.3
108.0106.7
Auto13.6
Teleop80.4
End9.9
Third
296
#31
122.92.7
112.2114.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End17.7
red by 27.2
6541
#55
95.71.8
92.894.6
Auto11.7
Teleop75.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed