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Red346
398198.0
6851125.3
5439147.8
Blue401
4952137.2
1772165.2
6902125.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250363100200300400500600346401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5439
#16
147.86.5
126.3132.8
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
blue by 17.4
165.27.2
140.0147.3
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
Second
6851
#14
125.35.0
115.4120.4
Auto16.9
Teleop93.5
End18.8
blue by 11.9
4952
#28
137.22.5
130.0132.5
Auto17.2
Teleop99.7
End23.0
Third
3981
#48
98.01.8
97.095.2
Auto15.7
Teleop79.7
End4.2
blue by 26.9
6902
#17
125.02.3
118.6120.9
Auto15.6
Teleop89.4
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed