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Red105
3387113.8
6540106.5
398596.8
Blue417
3990186.3
4594112.7
5095105.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123460100300400500105417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3387
#46
113.82.6
109.2111.8
Auto12.1
Teleop89.6
End11.7
blue by 72.5
186.34.9
166.5171.4
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
Second
6540
#45
106.50.3
107.5107.2
Auto13.2
Teleop82.7
End11.6
blue by 6.2
4594
#23
112.74.2
103.6107.8
Auto14.3
Teleop84.3
End18.3
Third
3985
#54
96.81.3
99.398.0
Auto12.7
Teleop73.2
End15.9
blue by 8.5
5095
#42
105.30.8
104.4103.6
Auto13.6
Teleop83.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed