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Red309
7162140.2
4950133.7
4947135.9
Blue203
2626115.4
3117112.8
5570102.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373203100300500600309203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.25.9
123.4129.4
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
red by 24.8
2626
#26
115.41.8
112.7114.5
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End9.8
Second
135.91.7
129.6131.3
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End21.1
red by 23.1
3117
#47
112.81.6
114.1112.4
Auto17.1
Teleop84.1
End13.8
Third
4950
#38
133.71.4
130.6132.0
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End25.8
red by 31.0
5570
#50
102.72.7
107.6104.9
Auto11.4
Teleop79.2
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed