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Red262
5570102.7
6540106.5
4942132.0
Blue251
296122.9
398596.8
5618143.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249305100200400500262251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4942
#21
132.04.3
125.7129.9
Auto13.5
Teleop98.3
End21.8
blue by 11.5
143.40.5
142.0142.4
Auto16.5
Teleop113.8
End14.5
Second
6540
#45
106.50.8
107.2106.5
Auto13.2
Teleop82.7
End11.6
blue by 16.4
296
#31
122.92.9
120.0122.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End17.7
Third
5570
#50
102.72.2
104.9102.7
Auto11.4
Teleop79.2
End11.6
red by 5.9
3985
#54
96.81.2
98.096.8
Auto12.7
Teleop73.2
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed