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Red409
1772165.2
5528166.5
5443109.5
Blue205
3996127.3
7162140.2
3386136.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355308100200400500600409205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.50.6
163.8164.5
Auto23.0
Teleop117.3
End25.1
red by 26.3
140.20.7
139.4140.2
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
Second
165.21.1
161.0162.0
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
red by 28.8
3386
#19
136.40.2
136.2136.4
Auto19.2
Teleop102.6
End16.7
Third
5443
#49
109.50.1
108.7108.9
Auto14.5
Teleop74.6
End21.2
blue by 17.7
3996
#22
127.30.8
126.5127.3
Auto14.2
Teleop96.3
End22.0