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Red354
2168185.2
6328152.9
4176127.4
Blue347
1100153.0
3236156.8
3623149.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366318200400500600700354347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.20.2
185.0185.2
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End18.9
red by 28.5
156.80.5
156.3156.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
Second
152.90.5
152.4152.9
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
blue by 0.1
1100
#16
153.00.3
152.7153.0
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
Third
4176
#15
127.40.4
127.0127.4
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
blue by 22.3
3623
#17
149.70.5
149.2149.7
Auto16.8
Teleop112.6
End22.5