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Red390
3461176.6
1729144.0
1153143.8
Blue347
126139.1
78184.2
3146147.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365364340350360370380390400390347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#11
176.60.1
176.4176.5
Auto23.5
Teleop128.9
End26.0
blue by 7.5
78
#7
184.20.2
183.8184.0
Auto23.5
Teleop131.8
End28.2
Second
144.00.8
140.4141.2
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End16.1
blue by 3.1
3146
#21
147.10.2
146.8147.0
Auto17.2
Teleop109.5
End22.0
Third
1153
#14
143.80.3
142.4142.8
Auto22.2
Teleop101.0
End20.8
red by 4.7
126
#12
139.10.4
138.4138.8
Auto19.4
Teleop100.1
End20.9