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Red270
61176.2
5000164.7
4048144.9
Blue457
1100153.0
3236156.8
3623149.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382332200300500600270457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#8
176.20.4
175.4175.9
Auto24.2
Teleop125.9
End26.8
red by 19.4
156.80.3
154.1154.4
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
Second
164.70.1
165.1164.9
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
red by 11.7
1100
#16
153.00.1
151.4151.5
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
Third
4048
#19
144.90.1
144.7144.9
Auto19.5
Teleop109.8
End13.2
blue by 4.8
3623
#17
149.70.4
146.7147.1
Auto16.8
Teleop112.6
End22.5