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Red309
6328152.9
7164120.3
3461176.6
Blue235
175160.6
3236156.8
157139.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332330240260280300320340360309235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#11
176.62.4
166.3168.7
Auto23.5
Teleop128.9
End26.0
red by 16.1
175
#10
160.612.9
103.4116.3
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
Second
152.91.3
139.0137.7
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
blue by 3.9
156.82.1
139.3141.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
Third
7164
#35
120.30.2
128.5128.3
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End13.8
blue by 19.0
157
#23
139.30.8
134.6135.4
Auto18.3
Teleop107.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed