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Red402
3236156.8
3466125.9
6328152.9
Blue226
4908154.2
4097117.9
61176.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255375100200300500600402226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.80.6
142.7143.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
blue by 19.4
61
#8
176.21.7
166.8168.5
Auto24.2
Teleop125.9
End26.8
Second
152.91.2
136.5135.2
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
blue by 1.3
4908
#13
154.21.6
142.7144.3
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
Third
3466
#25
125.91.6
115.4116.9
Auto17.9
Teleop97.7
End10.6
red by 8.0
4097
#32
117.90.7
123.2122.5
Auto13.0
Teleop89.9
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed