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Red170
4097117.9
126139.1
4151100.0
Blue531
125183.1
4908154.2
4796123.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113700100300500600700170531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#12
139.12.2
128.7130.8
Auto19.4
Teleop100.1
End20.9
blue by 44.0
125
#5
183.10.6
168.1167.5
Auto26.2
Teleop136.6
End24.8
Second
4097
#32
117.91.3
122.5121.2
Auto13.0
Teleop89.9
End17.6
blue by 36.3
4908
#13
154.20.5
144.3144.7
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
Third
4151
#28
100.01.6
95.997.6
Auto12.7
Teleop78.5
End12.3
blue by 23.9
4796
#30
123.90.7
119.3120.0
Auto16.7
Teleop96.4
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed