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Red526
5000164.7
125183.1
175160.6
Blue161
3146147.1
2262117.4
3466125.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072290100300500600700526161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#5
183.10.6
167.5168.1
Auto26.2
Teleop136.6
End24.8
red by 36.0
3146
#21
147.10.1
137.1137.2
Auto17.2
Teleop109.5
End22.0
Second
164.71.9
153.5155.4
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
red by 38.9
3466
#25
125.91.5
118.7120.1
Auto17.9
Teleop97.7
End10.6
Third
175
#10
160.63.4
135.7139.1
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
red by 43.2
2262
#36
117.40.1
118.2118.1
Auto17.3
Teleop89.9
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed