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Red349
2168185.2
3719122.0
157139.3
Blue187
4151100.0
1100153.0
1740122.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462460100200300400500600700800349187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.20.1
178.7178.6
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End18.9
red by 32.3
1100
#16
153.02.3
143.5145.8
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
Second
157
#23
139.30.2
134.4134.2
Auto18.3
Teleop107.0
End13.2
red by 16.9
1740
#39
122.31.4
117.2118.6
Auto16.3
Teleop84.1
End17.9
Third
3719
#26
122.00.1
117.5117.4
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
red by 22.0
4151
#28
100.00.4
98.598.9
Auto12.7
Teleop78.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed