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Red116
1922121.6
5112147.9
4796123.9
Blue387
190124.1
175160.6
2168185.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2583800100200300500600700116387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#18
147.90.9
146.8147.7
Auto16.8
Teleop115.6
End12.1
blue by 37.3
185.20.3
178.6178.9
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End18.9
Second
4796
#30
123.91.0
123.1124.0
Auto16.7
Teleop96.4
End9.8
blue by 36.7
175
#10
160.64.2
143.5147.6
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
Third
1922
#37
121.61.7
124.8126.5
Auto16.5
Teleop90.7
End17.5
blue by 2.5
190
#24
124.10.8
121.7122.5
Auto17.8
Teleop92.5
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed