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Red145
1153143.8
190124.1
7164120.3
Blue370
1757115.5
5000164.7
4908154.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265373100200300500600700145370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#14
143.80.0
144.2144.3
Auto22.2
Teleop101.0
End20.8
blue by 20.9
164.72.0
159.4161.4
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
Second
190
#24
124.11.0
122.5123.5
Auto17.8
Teleop92.5
End13.4
blue by 30.1
4908
#13
154.21.2
147.9149.0
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
Third
7164
#35
120.31.6
126.6125.0
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End13.8
red by 4.8
1757
#34
115.50.0
112.7112.8
Auto18.3
Teleop87.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed