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Red175
3719122.0
197392.7
1517121.7
Blue493
6328152.9
4048144.9
3146147.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2103930100300500600700175493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3719
#26
122.01.4
118.9120.3
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
blue by 30.9
152.91.8
139.7141.5
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
Second
1517
#31
121.71.1
118.8119.9
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
blue by 25.4
3146
#21
147.11.7
139.6141.2
Auto17.2
Teleop109.5
End22.0
Third
1973
#41
92.73.1
101.698.5
Auto15.6
Teleop70.1
End8.4
blue by 52.2
4048
#19
144.91.6
138.9140.5
Auto19.5
Teleop109.8
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed